Melisa Ercan vs Gergana Topalova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Second Serve: Gergana Topalova edges Melisa Ercan with 41.10% of second serve points won compared to Ercan's 38.57%. Does this give Topalova a slight advantage? Indeed, the higher win rate might suggest better performance under pressure.
• Return Game: Melisa Ercan shows a slightly better ability to return second serves, winning 54.19% of points, barely outdoing Topalova's 53.35%. Yet, Topalova leads in first serve return points with 36.54% to Ercan's 32.92%, indicating a strength in countering powerful serves.
• Break Point Save: Ercan demonstrates resilience under pressure, saving 50.45% of breakpoints, marginally better than Topalova's 46.24%. This can be pivotal in tight match situations.
• Match Performance: Over the last year, Topalova has a superior win rate of 50.00% compared to Ercan's 39.39%, suggesting more consistent performance in matches played.
• Surface Proficiency: Ercan excels on grass with a 71% win rate, while clay is Topalova's stronghold with the same win percentage. What if the match is on a common surface? Neither player firmly dominates.
• Event Level: Both have been competing primarily at the Challengers/ITF level; however, Topalova maintains a higher win rate of 50.00%, giving her an edge in event-level competition.
• Opponent Quality: Ercan has faced tougher opponents on average with a rank of 398.12 compared to Topalova's average opponent rank of 441.27, suggesting she might be more battle-tested against challenging competitors.
• Deciding Sets: If the match proceeds to a deciding set, Topalova holds an advantage, winning 47% of such scenarios, whereas Ercan succeeds only 27% of the time.
• Current Form: While historical data is valuable, current event performance is crucial. Assessing this can help determine if either player displays improved form heading into the match.

Editorial Prediction (October 7, 2025, UTC):

Analyzing recent statistics, Gergana Topalova generally presents a better performance profile. Her edge in both second serve points and deciding set outcomes underlines her potential to leverage critical match moments effectively.

Though Melisa Ercan showcases a strong return game and resilience in saving breakpoints, her recent win rate and performance against lower-ranked opponents do not favor her as much.

Despite any current event form factors, the combination of statistical advantages makes Gergana Topalova the likely favorite to win the upcoming tennis match.